Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Election...still guessing?

Election is coming!...that's something frequently heard nowadays when you talk to people from all walks of life..in fact, a visit to any mamak stall would give you a feel of the enormous interest the public has in trying to spot the election day.


Many believe a bull run in the stock market will happen before the election takes place. Reasons ranges from wanting to generate a feel good factor, flourishing economy, raising money to run the election and etc..

Well if you think of it, that's a logical thing to do.. so to say that another bull is coming prior to election, that's just a matter of time. (provided, the recent consolidation(cash out) is not done mainly by people who funds the election...)

Again, what else do we need in election apart from money?

hmm, here's what i think.

1) A majority of the people feeling contented and at least happy with the ruling government.
2) The preparation of the relevant parties to execute the election smoothly.
3) Timing.

Having said that, #1 is already taken care of with the economy growing steadily, 9mp projects flowing and the timely approval to raise in the salary of the civil servants.
#2 With the 'news' that a group of gov servants are told to prepare and their annual leaves being cancelled or frozen for the month of Mar '08 is worth noting.
#3 This is the only thing that keeps many of us on alert. Bear in mind it has to be before April'08.

So let's do some thinking. Is it necessary for the people in that sector to be informed so early ahead of time? Is this a trick to divert the attention away from the topic while the Gov prepare for the election? or it's a real thing?

For me... I think it's likely to be next year...coupled by the fact that this 2007 is Visit Malaysia Year, the odds are pointing to next year.

That's my opinion...what do you think?

3 comments:

stocktube said...

it could be this year though but chances are quite slim compare to next year ... since anwar factor is not a factor after all, it could be next year ...

depending on how many more carrots are being given out, the govn might surprises everyone ... but then it's just me ...

cheers

Smurf said...

personally, based on the senario given..next year is probable. I agree with stocktube that anwar is not an issue... the effect could be negligible after all the things that the gov has done...
anyhow, i think we'll have wait if we were to ride the bull again.. :P

ToeBear said...

Gentlemen, it's true that anwar is not a factor to be honest but knowing the gov for so long.... these people are unlikely to take any chances... they never really play fair either. so chances are high it's gonna be next year...but don't be surprise if it turns out wrong... so be prepared.