Friday, December 14, 2007
Friday, December 7, 2007
Reiterating a buy on Leader...
Posted by ToeBear at 11:03 PM 1 comments
Labels: Leader
Why we just need to earn more money...
Gov ministers should stop manipulating statistics by using mean household income to describe economic well-being of Malaysians when the lower median household income paints a truer picture of the earnings capacity of ordinary Malaysians. The government had said in Parliament that the mean or average monthly household income for the Indian community in 2004 stood at RM 3,456 a month whilst Bumiputeras had RM 2,711, and the Chinese RM 4,437. As such the government claimed that Indians were not marginalized but better off than bumis. This is not the reality reflected on the ground.
Statistics if used incorrectly can lie and distort the truth. these ministers must understand that the median household income divides households evenly in the middle with half of all households earning more than the median income and half of all households earning less than the median household income. According to the US Census Bureau, in 2006 the annual median household income in the US was US$48,201, meaning 50% of American households earned more than US$48,201 whilst 50% earned less than US$48,201 annually.
The mean household income is the income of all households is divided by the number of all households, and is usually affected by the relatively unequal distribution of income when a small number of people controls a larger share of income. The US Census Bureau said that the median household income is "considerably lower than the mean household income and statistically provides a more accurate representation." The mean household income in the United States in 2006 was $ 66,570, or $18,369 (38%) higher than the median household income.
In other words the mean or average monthly household income for the Indian community of RM 3, 456 a month, Bumiputeras RM 2,711 and the Chinese RM 4,437 could be as much as 40% higher than the actual income obtained. Does every Indian community earns RM 3,456 a month or Chinese household earns RM 4,437 a month? A figure half that amount could be more accurate.
The mean or average income data are skewed by income disparity between the rich and poor where the few who are wealthy and monopolise the bulk of the income are over-states the actual income received. I have not been able to obtain the median household income for the various ethnic communities in Malaysia from government data. Until these data are available, the government’s claims of who is better off than who would be disputed.
For this reason, the government is politicizing statistics by using mean and not median household income to enable them to claim that the income gap ratio between bumis and Chinese remained large when it was reduced from 1:1.74 in 1999 to 1:1.64 in 2004 whereas for bumis and Indians, it was only reduced from 1:1.36 to 1:1.27. Until the correct statistics are used, then only can we make reliable and accurate comparisons of actual earning capacity of Malaysians and the respective communities.
Posted by ToeBear at 7:25 AM 0 comments
Wednesday, December 5, 2007
It's time....
Bearish over for China and HK market? I would think so...For US market, as we head towards the end of 2007 with Christmas and New Year mood kicking in, I believe consumer spending will continue despite the credit crunch.
Posted by ToeBear at 12:19 AM 0 comments
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
How's that....
Declared a dividend of 3.5 sen per share for 3Q, bringing its total earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter to 5.1 sen. In just nine months EPIC's net profit surged 486.9% to RM23.77 mil...EPS stands at 14.2 sen. Very good balance sheet and things are only going to get better for this company... operating model is very healthy and I expect even better results for Q4....
Posted by ToeBear at 2:49 AM 0 comments
Labels: EPIC
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Rising star...
Posted by ToeBear at 7:35 AM 0 comments
Labels: Kencana
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Plantation ride...
Posted by ToeBear at 5:38 PM 0 comments
Labels: IJMPLant
Wednesday, November 7, 2007
PetroChina...
Its obvious that all punters and traders got zapped when they got involved on Petrochina CWs earlier this week... basically any buyers this week will all be cursing like mad or perhaps must be wondering what the hack happen to Petroch?
Well, nothing special but it's mere profit taking on IPO day.. its classic pull the plug day in listing and coupled the financial scares or worries that the subprime related losses has finally force more banks to reveal the skeletons in their closets... now that Citibank has decided to bite the bullet...basically these are the smoking guns to me... the effect of the possibility of Beijing delaying the plan to allow its people to trade HK shares is very minimum though it's there and i don't deny it does causes investors to sideline...
At China's current situation, any rumor is as good as news itself...having fallen more than 35% of its value in HK share price, PetroChina is definitely more attractive than before, its call warrants are falling back to its pre IPO announcement level soon... so I'd say its time to buy back the warrants... C1 and C4 is ok, just make sure you know how warrants are valued before you decide to wack the one you favor...
I'm placing my bet on C4, as its cheap, has the value of time and has higher potential ROI...
When you start to feel that it would continue to go up further, it's time to sell and vice versa.
The inclusion into HSI will be a boost for PetroChina stock in HK. Shanghai Petro is very much constraint to Chinese investors... so foreign investors will have no choice but to go for HK listed Petro.... enough said, anything below 65 cents is like an 'IPO' to me... the choice is yours.
Posted by ToeBear at 9:42 AM 0 comments
Labels: PetroChina
Friday, November 2, 2007
Sinopec... a good bet.
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (“Sinopec Corp.”) is the 2nd largest O&G producer with it's principal operations mainly include exploring, developing, producing and trading crude oil and natural gas...Being the third largest refiner and #1 in China it involves in
processing crude oil into refined oil products... trading and transportation as well as distributing and not to forget about marketing refined oil products... it also produce and distribute chemical products too.. current high price in crude oil prices is hurting Sinopec and is already eating into its profits... however its recent report on its Q3 earning is spectacular as the high crude prices has been causing it to bleed profusely since it climbed from $70 to over $90 per barrel... the recent gasoline and diesel price hike by China gov is a inevitable because the need is overwhelming due the shortages in supply...
The asia's biggest refiner has been shouldering huge losses by selling fuel at the regulated below-market prices by Beijing... inflation fear is real but to let the nation crippled due to shortages of supply is unwarranted... but this is not good enough..more needs to be done to increase the output by refiners...
Now that the price hike has happened, the next to follow will be the hike in natural gas prices which is at an obscenely low level...and not to forget that Beijing needs Sinopec to be there and in order for that to happen, they either increase the oil prices further or to pay subsidy to Sinopec as what they have been doing for the last 2 years...
According to reports, some experts do expect it to receive a subsidy for the third year to compensate its losses....Sinopec obtained a $1.2 billion subsidy in 2005 and $640 million last year.
Some are expecting it to be on the range of 2-2.5bil for this year...
In short more relieves will come for Sinopec because there's only a limit to how far the gov can control the supply and demand force... :)
By the way, with the raise, people in China will change their lifestyles soon to energy saving mode and with the change in consumption pattern of the world due to the high oil prices, will eventually drive down the oil prices back... you think about it...
Posted by ToeBear at 9:11 PM 0 comments
Labels: Sinopec
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Asiaep
Posted by ToeBear at 11:54 PM 2 comments
Labels: Asiaep
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Oil and Gas
Posted by ToeBear at 8:16 AM 0 comments
Labels: PetroChina
Saturday, October 13, 2007
Bank of China
Posted by ToeBear at 8:32 PM 0 comments
Labels: BOC
Monday, October 8, 2007
Mulpha Int
Posted by ToeBear at 8:52 AM 0 comments
Labels: Mulpha
Friday, September 28, 2007
Melewar... set for higher ground...
Posted by ToeBear at 8:37 AM 0 comments
Labels: Melewar
Thursday, September 27, 2007
Greed... a key factor to downfall....
Posted by ToeBear at 2:09 AM 0 comments
Labels: Leisure
Sunday, September 23, 2007
Its time to load up...
Ranhill has gone through a short period of correction from it's all time high of $3.60 early of this month and seems that its now hovering slightly above the immediate support level comfortably... with the anticipation of favourable announcement on the potential oil reserve in Citarum block, it's definitely going to be traded actively in days to come... this stock has huge potential with oil prices currently well above USD80...unless you don't think the result is favourable... ;) Else if you are into O&G, this counter will be worth your time and money in months to come...
Posted by ToeBear at 9:11 AM 0 comments
Labels: RANHILL
Thursday, September 13, 2007
Now we really need them...
The last time leader came into highlight here was 1 month+ ago... well at that time it was only trading at about $1.00... now it's back to ground zero and slightly less than that.... cables are necessity for every thing that we do... even wireless network would need fundamental setup before we can enjoy wireless connection... NCER, IDR, 9mp, government's plan to push for a knowledge-based economy and narrow the gap of digital divide, by planning to increase the broadband penetration rate ~50% of households by 2010 will drive leader's business for years to come.
Along with that, they (gov) also gives some perks to those who helps to make this happen..tax deduction be given to employers on benefits such as new computers and payment of broadband subscription fees for employees.... such benefits of that nature received by the employees will also be tax exempt.... I'm pretty upbeat this will drive up Leader's price to $2.13... in the next 9 months.
well, you think about it.
Posted by ToeBear at 1:26 AM 0 comments
Labels: Leader
Sunday, August 26, 2007
Property buy....
Posted by ToeBear at 10:14 PM 0 comments
Labels: Equine
Thursday, August 23, 2007
Who else?....
Posted by ToeBear at 1:52 AM 0 comments
Labels: MRCB
Friday, August 17, 2007
Why the sudden hoohaa...?
First, the reduction by 50 points on the discount rate is some what mediocre in comparison to the situation that we’re facing right now… at least what the mortgage market is facing… second, the subprime issue is still very much in the midst of the problem… what is happening to the sudden u-turn in the equity market on Friday are merely the perception by the people that liquidity issue will be reduced from now onwards….
Posted by ToeBear at 7:10 AM 0 comments
Labels: Leisure
Monday, August 13, 2007
What are you thinking?
The younger generation realizes much earlier that in order to be financially sounds and ultimately achieves financial freedom is through investment.
However, stocks are not like any other tangible assets (eg. Property).
Tangible assets will in time appreciate in value because as the human population grows, available land/resources on earth are scarce and depleting. The demand for such assets will only increase as time past.
Stock price on the other hand is a value that represents a corporation which the current market feels it is worth. Stock price will not necessarily go up as the time past…and this applies to good company as well. A performance of a company in the future depends very much on what the company does today. The goal, plan and vision it has today is crucial to determine it’s profitability in the future or even the survival of the business in the long run.
Having said that, by just buying a stock and keep without monitoring it’s profitability and business condition overtime is like walking across the road in the middle of the night expecting nothing will hit you.... trust me you will be hit one way or another.
Posted by ToeBear at 10:08 PM 0 comments
Labels: Leisure
Monday, August 6, 2007
Cables.... everyone needs them.
Posted by ToeBear at 10:15 PM 0 comments
Labels: Leader
Sunday, August 5, 2007
Dijaya Corp
Posted by ToeBear at 9:33 AM 0 comments
Labels: Dijaya
Sunday, July 29, 2007
Oil and gas.....
Posted by ToeBear at 7:46 PM 0 comments
Monday, July 23, 2007
Ranhill
How's much faith do we have on Ranhill's oil discovery at Citarum block to be huge enough(~200 barrels)? Will the ~RM25bil oil pipe project take off?...will banks even consider loaning money to the project?
How badly do you think we need this project? How economically viable do you think this project is and what are the chance it stand in posing as a treat to Singapore's status as a premier oil storage hub?...i think unless we see more promising events coming up on this projects, or perhaps Petronas backing it financially, we should really trade Ranhill cautiously...
With it's total receivables standing at about $1.2bil...ranhill couldn't afford to continue to let this number rise further and hurt it's balance sheet.
In short, don't get carried away... people are buying base on future earnings and not real profit yet. If you're into real long term, who cares.... but traders... be alert.
Posted by ToeBear at 3:07 AM 0 comments
Labels: RANHILL
Wednesday, July 18, 2007
Time is right...
Posted by ToeBear at 2:10 AM 1 comments
Labels: Mulpha
Wednesday, July 11, 2007
Steel counter at a steal...
Posted by ToeBear at 8:28 AM 2 comments
Labels: Masteel
Sunday, July 8, 2007
Free style...anyone?
When we talk about investment style, many people tend to stand behind their own technique... which only make sense because why would someone practise and preach on a particular approach/technique of investing if it's not working? It's not like they're getting paid for doing that.. are they? i really don't think so...
Posted by ToeBear at 1:12 AM 0 comments
Labels: Leisure
Tuesday, July 3, 2007
Swee Joo...
Posted by ToeBear at 7:02 PM 0 comments
Labels: Swee Joo
Thursday, June 28, 2007
Mulpha Land... worth your time?
Mulpha Land rose about 80% in 2 months!....what other investment tool can give you such handsome return?...well, you can argue there are a few but what are the risk to reward ratio if compared to trading/investing in good stock.
hmmm, but then again which stock is good stock nowadays... Transmile which is a gem to many investors turns out to be Enron#2.... so i guess luck does play a part in our life...
I was told that hard work is 70% while luck is 30%... i think there's truth in it... after many years of investing in stock market...i realised that hard work alone is never enough...
so back on Mulpha Land...why this stock and why now?... honestly, there are many stocks out there worth buying now but we just cannot cover all.. so a few 'good' ones would do the job... :)
Well supported at ~$1.80 i think there's just more upside... having return to black from last year's loss...it's subsequent quarter profit is likely to be more... unless there's other news to feed the bear... i think this counter could just break past $2 in the short term.
Well, I already have it... now it's up to you...
Posted by ToeBear at 8:05 AM 0 comments
Labels: Mulpha Land
Wednesday, June 27, 2007
Election...still guessing?
Election is coming!...that's something frequently heard nowadays when you talk to people from all walks of life..in fact, a visit to any mamak stall would give you a feel of the enormous interest the public has in trying to spot the election day.
#3 This is the only thing that keeps many of us on alert. Bear in mind it has to be before April'08.
Posted by ToeBear at 12:04 AM 3 comments
Labels: Leisure
Tuesday, June 26, 2007
Leader building base....
Posted by ToeBear at 6:09 AM 0 comments
Labels: Leader
Sunday, June 24, 2007
Eden will move higher...
Posted by ToeBear at 12:02 AM 0 comments
Labels: EDEN
Wednesday, June 20, 2007
TA a good vehicle to ride the bull...
Posted by ToeBear at 5:44 PM 0 comments
Labels: TA
Tuesday, June 19, 2007
TWSCorp still bullish...
Posted by ToeBear at 5:31 AM 0 comments
Sunday, June 17, 2007
More news on KPS...
Kumpulan Perangsang Selangor Bhd (KPS) is well placed to secure the Langat 2 water scheme project, said executive chairman Datuk Abdul Karim Munisar.Speaking after the group's AGM yesterday, he said KPS had been involved in Langat 2 since 1999 and had spent some RM5mil on preliminary and feasibility studies on the project.In his first ever statement on Langat 2 since taking office in 2004, Abdul Karim said: Being a government-linked company with the expertise and financial strength to undertake the project, we are putting all efforts to make sure we do our best to realise it¨.
The Langat 2, which is part of the Pahang-Selangor inter-state water project that would be opened for tender in the second half, is a treatment and storage facility for raw water that is transferred from Pahang.The facility would reportedly cost RM2.5bil.With the Government planning to stop awarding water concessions to private companies, KPS is currently the top candidate to develop the facility.
Its up to the Federal Government now,¨ Abdul Karim added.He said Langat 2, when fully operational, would double KPS' supply capacity to some 4,000 million litres per day (mld), making it the country's largest water supplier. The underground and surface water project is slated to provide a total of nearly 200mld. KPS made itself a clear-water player by recently taking control of treated water supplier Konsortium Abass Sdn Bhd.It also has a 30% stake in Syarikat Pengeluar Air Selangor Holdings Bhd, which is the concessionaire for Sungai Selangor Phase 1 and 3, and 20% in Taliworks Corp, a subcontractor to concessionaires and a concessionaire for water supply in Langkawi.
Meanwhile, Abdul Karim said the group was looking at venturing into a RM150mil independent power producer and RM600mil toll-road projects, both in Sumatra.Initiated by the group's partners, these projects would be KPS' maiden forays abroad. Next will be a water project in China,¨ he added.The group, according to Abdul Karim, is also talking to some state governments on the potential of mining projects.For the year ended Dec 31, 2006, KPS posted a pre-tax profit of RM28.3mil compared with a pre-tax loss of RM123.8mil previously.
My opinion: Buy and keep, for more upside is coming.
Posted by ToeBear at 5:19 AM 0 comments
Labels: KPS
Thursday, June 14, 2007
PetroChina-c1....huge upside
Posted by ToeBear at 11:28 PM 0 comments
Labels: PetroChina
Wednesday, June 13, 2007
stock watch...
KPS....2nd leg of the race has begun(as expected in previous blog)...more upside is expected in the short term to hit RM2...
Feel free to share your opinion...:)
Posted by ToeBear at 7:41 AM 0 comments
Sunday, June 10, 2007
Melewar poised for more upside.
A company with a relatively healthy business results. Chart wise, very much bullish...Potential high return in the short term...that's what I think.
Posted by ToeBear at 12:18 AM 0 comments
Friday, June 8, 2007
Wednesday, June 6, 2007
Bull on the loose!
Posted by ToeBear at 6:39 AM 2 comments
Labels: EPIC
Tuesday, June 5, 2007
KPS ready for next move...
Posted by ToeBear at 6:31 AM 0 comments
Labels: KPS
Leader on the run...
Leader posted revenue of more than 580mil for the quarter ended on 31/3/07 and EPS rose more than 50% from the previous year quarter results. NTA currently stood at ~90 cents per share. MACD cross above the 9-day EMA look set to confirm with a MA zero crossover. Should this happen, this stock should spring above immediate resistance of 82.5 cents. and subsequently break the 85 cents 'ceiling'.
With cable and wire business contributing more than 90% of it's revenue, leader is poised to reap from the 9mp. Target price for this counter for the coming 9 months is $1.06.
Not a bad place to park extra cash...:)
Posted by ToeBear at 5:45 AM 0 comments
Labels: Leader
Monday, June 4, 2007
stock updates...
Posted by ToeBear at 8:36 AM 0 comments
Thursday, May 31, 2007
Same old story...
Proton posted a loss for its fiscal fourth quarter, ended March 31, of about a mil.
For the year, Proton's loss totaled 591.4 million ringgit, compared with a net profit of 46.7 million ringgit a year earlier. Well, the model does not work anymore?
Fourth-quarter revenue fell 29% to 1.27 billion ringgit. For the year, revenue was 4.92 billion ringgit, down 37% from 7.8 billion ringgit...any reason why?
The company, 43%-owned by state-owned investment firm Khazanah Nasional Bhd., sold 110,358 cars in the 2007 fiscal year, down 40% from a year earlier.Separately, Malaysian Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi wants Proton to seek talks with other auto makers about a strategic tie-up, after Volkswagen AG turned down a proposal to take an equity stake in the company."I have decided, since Volkswagen is not interested in the proposal that Proton wants in terms of equity, Proton needs to talk to other people," Mr. Badawi said Thursday.
Like I said earlier, anyone with brain would say no to such deal... it's a no deal!
Meanwhile, Proton expects conditions to remain challenging because of higher costs for components and intense competition....why didn't the management anticipated this?... short sighted? It expects sales to improve in 2007 with the continuation of promotions and the introduction of models in the third quarter.... i doubt.
Posted by ToeBear at 8:48 PM 0 comments
Labels: Proton
Tuesday, May 29, 2007
Insas... worth the money?
Posted by ToeBear at 7:36 PM 0 comments
Labels: INSAS
Saturday, May 26, 2007
Are you doing yourself a favor?...
Most people have always been on the look out for opportunity to build wealth... to have bigger houses, nicer cars, more money to spend and lastly the most famous sought after goal among us...financial freedom.
Question is what's the best and fastest way to do it? Unit trust, property investment, FD you may tell me...property investment needs a relatively huge capital to begin with...Unit trust and FD on the other hand may sound like the safest and sure way but the return is really mediocre when you factor in the ever rising inflation, medical costs, and many other miscellaneous costs of living.
Posted by ToeBear at 11:12 PM 1 comments
Labels: Financial freedom?
Thursday, May 24, 2007
Ranhill bullish still?..
Posted by ToeBear at 10:56 PM 1 comments
Labels: RANHILL
Wednesday, May 23, 2007
Accumulation time for INSAS-WA?
Posted by ToeBear at 7:40 AM 0 comments
Labels: INSAS
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
On your toes!....
The day has come for us to decide on this cross road... a hangman finally appear today for YTL chart and I think it's only reasonable to see this sign...so take note for those who have bought YTL of late. Tomorrow's performance is like a traffic light signal, if it's green then stay on course... and if it's red, stop, cash out and wait for another signal to join the race.
For me irregardless of whether you're a long term or short term investors, it's only wise to maximize your money... it's not like everyday we can have the luxury to watch out for the signal right?...so get ready guys.
Posted by ToeBear at 5:01 AM 0 comments
Labels: YTL
Monday, May 21, 2007
The sign?
Well, today the Malaysian gov announced the increase in the salary of civil servant since the last raise about 5 years ago....with the increase, it will cost the gov ~8billion anually.... what a rich country...I'm not going to comment about the service quality hence let us see for ourself the service quality change.
Posted by ToeBear at 5:20 AM 2 comments